Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.287493 1.555068 1.886742 2.336327 2.943156 3.754418e+00 4.958722
2025-01-19 0.905948 1.202820 1.624562 2.297075 3.406082 5.300455e+00 9.169152
2025-01-26 0.753092 1.071496 1.573050 2.486019 4.285579 8.212791e+00 19.901941
2025-02-02 0.645677 0.966170 1.511647 2.614596 5.148061 1.214045e+01 44.381328
2025-02-09 0.553568 0.858311 1.406718 2.606874 5.723749 1.632367e+01 95.509276
2025-02-16 0.477645 0.760090 1.289860 2.521868 6.055415 2.051219e+01 206.034277
2025-02-23 0.432341 0.706753 1.244320 2.579402 6.865710 2.895926e+01 754.343425
2025-03-02 0.400452 0.671807 1.226447 2.698336 8.026248 4.421822e+01 9555.442339
2025-03-09 0.366780 0.627404 1.177600 2.715382 8.859137 6.279194e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 0.330945 0.573295 1.095845 2.607833 9.077003 7.826440e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.313038 0.552980 1.087723 2.723007 10.565619 1.324544e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.292869 0.525042 1.055682 2.750033 11.671917 2.105058e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.269264 0.487486 0.994737 2.662795 12.046293 2.927321e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.249931 0.457127 0.947334 2.610493 12.668769 4.491278e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.243382 0.454066 0.970106 2.834099 15.968387 1.645732e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 0.234478 0.444488 0.973579 2.987398 19.251361 9.726375e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.221333 0.423564 0.941733 2.978072 20.931960 7.584129e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 0.206899 0.398170 0.893204 2.876447 21.342929 1.340482e+06 NaN
2025-05-18 0.198479 0.386198 0.881771 2.945188 24.466476 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.192494 0.379413 0.884552 3.087605 29.642175 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.184127 0.365946 0.864803 3.108049 33.017821 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.173285 0.345416 0.820256 2.979194 32.866159 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.168763 0.340255 0.823369 3.117197 40.153166 NaN NaN